Adam Drury provides his football tips from Sunday’s action in the Premier League and across Europe.
Monaco to beat Lorient & over 2.5 goals (12:00)
Monaco have won their last seven league matches, with all of them featuring at least three goals.
That run has included 3-0, 3-1 and 2-1 home victories, as well as a 4-3 win at Nimes last week. They sit fourth for xPoints and third for xG in Ligue 1.
Lorient have lost seven of their 11 away matches this season, conceding at least twice in five of their last six on the road.
Manchester United to beat West Brom & over 2.5 goals (14:00)
West Brom have conceded 24 goals in their last six home games, including five against Crystal Palace, Leeds and Man City, four against Arsenal and three against Aston Villa.
The only game that the Baggies haven’t lost on that run was a 2-2 draw against Fulham.
Manchester United have won six of their seven away games against bottom-half opposition this season, with the exception a draw at Arsenal. Five of those wins featured over 2.5 goals.
Lille to beat Brest & over 1.5 goals (16:00)
Lille have won seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
Their last two league wins have been 3-0 and 2-0 scorelines, while they posted an xG of 1.91 in a 1-0 win against Dijon a week earlier.
Brest have lost eight of their 12 away games this season, with six of those defeats featuring at least two goals.
Sassuolo to win or draw & BTTS v Crotone (17:00)
BTTS has landed in 10 of Sassuolo’s last 11 matches.
Though Roberto De Zerbi’s side have lost six games on that run, they rank 11th for xPoints, while opponents Crotone rank bottom of the league in that metric.
Crotone have failed to win eight of their 11 home matches this season, but have at least scored in four of their last five.
Over 2.5 goals in Villarreal v Real Betis (20:00)
Villarreal have scored at least twice in nine of their last 13 home matches, with over 2.5 goals featuring in eight of those games.
They take on Real Betis, who have scored at least twice in five consecutive away games, including a 4-3, 3-1 and 2-2.
All of Real Betis’ last three trips to Villarreal have produced at least three goals, including a 5-1 win for the hosts last season.